David Levenson. It's time to reduce risk and beta. (@levenson_david)

Mortgage duration events precede every equity event. Mortgage models are signaling trouble ahead. On X, Apple and Spotify https://t.co/gdYBN2mvsp

18k followersFinance1 subscribers

David Levenson. It's time to reduce risk and beta. (@levenson_david)

The coming curve failure will kill M2 growth and tech. 5/23/25 #TMOM

The end of the 23M steepener will end Bear market rally. #TMOM 5/13/25

Term premium vs duration. System vs policy. #TMOM 5/11/25 Week ahead

#TMOM 5/8/26. Don’t buy the hype. Weak trade deal. Curve decay.

Fed will be slightly dovish June 18 is only 29% cut. #TMOM 5/7/25

China talks are only noise. Bear market rally is ending. #TMOM 5/6/25

Bear rally pause! Curve & commodity decay. #TMOM 5/4/25 3Y ago 505050

Part 2 Paused Vega suppression rally 5/2/25 #TMOM

Market Talk: It’s over?! Bear market confirmed!? 82k BTC soon!?!?

Market Talk- Is it over!? BTC hits new lows at 97k! 85k soon!?!?

Market Talk- Is the bull market over for crypto? When new highs??

Market Talk- What are you seeing in the markets? Crypto+Stocks+Macro

UST volatility will continue to fall with its lower yield tale 9/26/25

The inflation narrative is coming under assault with NASDAQ. 8/1/25

The MOVE is absorbing policy interference very well. #TMOM 7/17/25

$ resilience and MOVE rate suppression despite policy. #TMOM 7/16/25

The $ signal is unmistakable. $ liquidity is decaying. #TMOM 7/15/25

Policy interference in real time driving up MOVE. 7/14/2025 #TMOM

Greenspan was 2 late. Powell was 2 early. 7/12/25 #TMOM

Prompt +1 day, vega(MOVE) suppression took out 200MMA today. 7/10/25

Prompt Vega suppression bond and interest rate sensitive rally 7/9/25

Dollar strength is broadening This kills M2 growth + liquidity 7/8/25

$ call skew troughed 2 weeks ago. The $ bottomed 7/1/25. #TMOM 7/7/25

Bubble deflation everywhere. NDX GOLD BTC ¥£€ VIX MOVE yields. 7/6/25

MOVE will drag down FAANGMT. Our most important episode ever. 7/3/25

Dollar strength is accelerating and that’s bad for NDX. 7/3/25

7月3日木曜日:日経先物夜間取引きフィードバック❗️

Jobs strong. No July cut. September less likely. BBB to pass soon.

The dollar is strengthening as rates continue their decline. 7/1/25

The cheapest thing in the world, bond call skew. Deflation. 7/1/25

M2 growth is decaying. Low vega has rising theta. Bonds rising. 7/1/25

Mortgage rates are melting. MOVE index then FAANG will follow. 6/30/25

Prompt MOVE index deflation will drive rates and gold lower. 6/29/25

The MOVE index decay is accelerating. Rates will fall further. 6/29/25

Polarity Radio mechanics podcast. MOVE drives deflation. 6/29/25

Interest rates ARE falling. You can ignore reality if u choose 6/28/25

The MOVE index is screaming rates will melt NDX/DIA too! #TMOM 6/27/27

Rates won’t stop melting down. NVDA NDX GLD BTC will follow. 6/26/25

Falling UST note yields,Volatility and gold in Europe. #TMOM 6/25/25

The Credit bubble is failing. Gold, rates, GOOG soon NDX TMOM 6/24/25

Paused flattener and NDX NVDA bear market Policy superposition 6/23/25

NDX NVDA SMH GOOG AAPL bear market is starting with Bond bull 6/22/25

Global yields are declining and will weaken the NASDAQ. #TMOM 6/20/25

What is the yield curve telling us? 2/10 will invert 6/17/25 #TMOM

Policy interference has slowed the decline of bonds yields. 6/15/25 P2

2/10 will invert. NDX and bond yields will fall. NO recession 6/15/25

The 2/10 curve is the best global M2 growth barometer.#TMOM 6/14/25

The weekly 2/10 curve close was weak. It will fail! #TMOM 6/13/2025

The yield curve will invert and drive the dollar up. #TMOM 6/12/25

6月12日木曜日:日経先物前場フィードバック❗️

The yield curves will invert. Inflation is melting. #TMOM 6/11/26

The yield curve will invert. Inflation is melting. #TMOM 6/11/25

Our 5/16/25 flattener forecast is about breach support #TMOM 6/10/25

Flattening 2/10, NOB (10/30), VIX crush 60->16 PolarityRadio 6/6/25

Curve flattening, NOB, bonds yields and tech will fall. #TMOM 6/5/25

The curve flattener has been the pain trade since 5/16/25 #TMOM 6/4/25

Since 5/16/25 the pain trade is the 23 month steepener. #TMOM 6/4/25

Curve flattening, lower yields, decaying BTC strength. #TMOM 5/30/25

The 23M 2/10 flattener is the markets biggest pain trade 5/29/25 #TMOM

The pre-eminent trade across all assets is the flattener 5/28/25 #TMOM

The 23 month curve trade is breaking down. Learn why! #TMOM 5/27/25

The yield flair will fail. The curve will invert. #TMOM 5/21/25

The 23M steepener is failing. It will destroy M2 growth. #TMOM 5/20/25

Reconnect Breaking curve #TMOM 5/19/25

The dominant trade is failing. 23M curve failure. #TMOM 5/19/25

The 23 month curve steepening is failing+will break tech #TMOM 5/15/25

A 22.5M trade is going bad. +Alpha 4U #Information gap. #TMOM 5/12/25

Learn the difference between term and duration structure #TMOM 5/11/25

Restart spaces 5/9/25

Restart the space you can hear us

Restart spaces on Policy and curve. #TMOM 5/8/26

Policy won’t stop the AI bear market. Curve flattening. #TMOM 5/8/25

Recap of Powell and bear market rally exhaustion. #TMOM 5/7/25

The bear rally, is it paused or ending. Oil, oy vey. #TMOM 5/5/25.

Spaces reconnect 5/3/25 Bear rally pause #TMOM

Bear rally pause. Curve fail. Duration durability decay. #TMOM 5/3/25

Pause and reversal in Vega suppression bear market rally #TMOM 5/2/25

Bear market rally, rate consolidation. Gold over! 5/1/25

Vega suppression bear market rally has legs. Curve talk #TMOM 4/30/25