THE FINANCE SHOW 🚨 WW3 IS NEAR

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Shibo
@GodsBurntJan 29, 2026

The Spaces brought a wide-ranging conversation that moved from weekend crypto market mechanics to deeper community ethics and macro risk. Host voices (notably Shibo and Bark) framed why low-liquidity weekends enable market maker moves, gave a snapshot (BTC ~$89k, ETH ~$2.9k, SOL ~$127, XRP ~$0.90–$1.00), and emphasized OTF—Only The Family—as the core community ethos: loyalty, vetting intentions, and learning from mistakes before they become costly. Speakers warned about influencer desperation and Telegram pump-and-dump funnels, urging participants to “read the blockchain” and avoid emotional decisions. Several members shared first-hand lessons on betrayal and recovery (e.g., Milk’s Arizona company story), reinforcing patience and long-term alignment. The room also discussed the surge in gold/silver as a sign of real fear (not mere FUD), plus broader concerns about surveillance, speech restrictions, and geopolitical escalation; some controversial and unverified claims were presented as opinion. Actionably, participants advocated building in public, investing in sound assets, watching for rotation back to BTC and risk-on, strengthening family and community, and choosing positivity over division.

Twitter Space Summary — Markets, Loyalty (OTF), Influencer Risk, and Macro Turbulence

Participants and Roles

  • Shibo (host/moderator): Led market commentary, macro and community ethics discussion; emphasized vigilance in Web3.
  • Mark (aka Bark): Co-lead; expanded on loyalty (OTF), long-term orientation, and practical life lessons; shared personal anecdotes.
  • Tall: Community member at the center of a recent betrayal/learning moment; offered distilled lesson on recognizing fakes and valuing real ones.
  • Web: Referenced frequently; part of the core circle; involved in several humorous and cautionary asides.
  • Shield, V, Rock, Artsy, RTC: Core community voices reinforcing OTF, ethics, and practical support.
  • Roman/Rome: Observed other communities; contrasted practices with Dosional Dogs.
  • Braden: Referenced in the context of earlier advice.
  • Milk (Arizona): Shared a detailed personal case study on betrayal in a music venture and choosing the positive path.
  • Katie Foley (community member): Quoted a classic loyalty maxim.
  • DJ Bands: Mentioned in passing.

Opening Tone: Street Realism and Resilience

  • The space opened with extended rap/lyrical passages evoking themes of hardship, anxiety, loyalty (OTF), street violence, hustling, and survival.
  • Motifs included being pushed out, financial struggle, longing for brotherhood, caution about fame and clout, and resilience in the face of fear and loss.
  • Frequent references to Chicago drill culture, OTF, Section 8, and generational struggle set an authentic, gritty frame mirroring later discussions on loyalty and trust.

Crypto Market Context: Low-Liquidity Weekends and Price Snapshot

  • Shibo explained weekend market microstructure:
    • Weekends are low-volume; with fewer organic buyers/sellers, market makers can more easily move price.
    • This dynamic leads to "Sunday scam pumps/dunks" where abrupt moves flush leveraged positions.
  • Snapshot (approximate given live chatter):
    • Bitcoin around $89,000.
    • Ethereum in the high $2,000s (context suggests ~$2,900).
    • Solana roughly $127.
    • XRP commentary was mixed; some speakers reminisced about prior high prices and debated odds of revisits. Treat as sentiment, not a forecast.
  • Sentiment gauge: Fear & Greed "back in fear," framed against rising geopolitical tensions.

Central Ethos: OTF (Only The Family)

  • Core principle: Keep a tight circle grounded in loyalty, mutual aid, and long-term trust.
  • Dichotomy emphasized:
    • Real ones vs fakes: Good people radiate positivity and attract good actors; negativity attracts snakes.
    • Bad actors often migrate from Web2 with checkered pasts, try to hide in Web3, and exploit communities.
  • Practical guidance:
    • Trust but verify; "call a spade a spade" when behavior and wallets tell a different story from pleasant words.
    • If someone betrays you, evaluate patterns: occasional mistakes vs consistent intent.
    • Offer second chances cautiously; long-term behavior is the best signal.

Tall’s Learning Moment: Recognizing Fakes, Valuing Real Ones

  • Community used Tall’s recent setback as a live teaching case:
    • Tall summarized: You can always count on a faker to be fake and a real one to be real.
    • Emotional impact acknowledged; reframed as a high-value lesson learned early rather than later at larger scale.
  • Mark’s $20 lesson (an anecdote):
    • In high school, a friend dodged repaying a $20 dinner repeatedly.
    • Insight: If someone burns you for a small amount, they’ll burn you for more later. Cheap signal to de-risk future entanglement.
  • Strategic takeaway:
    • Avoid “entanglement” with people whose roots aren’t OTF—scale magnifies damage.
    • Play the long game; progress slower with trustworthy people rather than fast with snakes.

Community Identity and Operations (Dosional Dogs)

  • Claim: Being frequently attacked is a proxy for being a powerful, worthy target on CT (crypto Twitter).
  • Practice-based legitimacy:
    • "Break bread" across many real-life events (18 last year mentioned).
    • No mandatory buy-in: You don’t have to own a Dog to be valued; participation is a choice, not a prerequisite.
  • Real-world practicality and humor:
    • Hiring mentions (welders, forklifts, balers); practical support as part of the community fabric.
    • Security paranoia noted (jammers and cameras in restaurants, skepticism around encryption, Faraday-cage jokes) — subtext: operational awareness matters.

Influencer Economics and Telegram Scams

  • Pattern noted by Shibo/Mark:
    • Influencers with mid-tier engagement reply to their own tweets with "join my free Telegram" to funnel followers off-timeline.
    • Inside, they promote coins they control; delete chat history; orchestrate dumps/rugs—minimizes public scrutiny.
  • Reported desperation:
    • Multiple large accounts (200–300k followers) DM’ing for jobs/loans.
    • Assertion: Only a handful earn substantial monthly income; many rely on questionable tactics.
  • Clear advice:
    • Don’t join random influencer Telegrams; assume conflicts of interest and engineered exits.

Macro and Geopolitical Risk: Fear vs FUD, and Systemic Critiques

  • A macro post was read and discussed (UK-based commentator):
    • Themes: Rigged systems; illusion of choice and voting; "sick-care" over true healthcare; engineered social division; and war profiteering.
    • Prescription: Don’t succumb to hate; love thy neighbor; avoid traps that justify broader crackdowns.
  • Policy/Geo updates discussed (opinions and real-time claims; treat carefully):
    • UK: Claim that new legislation criminalizes offensive jokes in public spaces; framed as erosion of free speech. Note: Verify specifics via official sources; the space treats it as fact.
    • Canada-China routing: Allegation of a proposed trade conduit through Canada into the US; mention of potential tariffs and warning by US leadership. Again, verify policy details independently.
    • US readiness: Talk of warships moving to the Middle East, regime change scenarios (Iran), and elite teams vs drones.
  • Extraordinary claims:
    • "Discombobulator" weapon referenced in the Maduro context; described as evaporative/lethal. This is speculative chatter and should be treated as unverified.
    • "Great replacement" arguments and demographic stats aired; these are highly controversial and require rigorous fact-checking beyond the space’s commentary. The summary reflects the discourse, not endorsement.
  • Markets and rotation:
    • Speakers asserted gold/silver strength is unprecedented and signals real fear period (not a routine FUD cycle).
    • Anticipated eventual rotation from metals back to risk-on (Bitcoin, then downstream to alts/memes), but timing uncertain.
    • Emphasis on multi-decade arcs vs minute-by-minute distractions; avoid myopia.

Personal Case Studies and Life Lessons

  • Milk (Arizona music entrepreneur):
    • Built a major state platform over four years; near-sponsorship moment (~$10k/month), the “main founder” turned toxic and cut partners out right before the probation ended.
    • Response: Avoid retaliation; focus on music and momentum (touring; Tech N9ne, Rick Ross). Concluded the Dosional Dogs community feels non-extractive and genuinely supportive.
  • Intergenerational reflection (same speaker):
    • Father’s emotional disconnection and poor decisions; passed away with no money.
    • Choice: Break the cycle—be present and kind with his own children; personal action > passive listening.
    • Practical: Grind the X algorithm; monetize; invest in Dosional Dogs; "we’re going to buy because it’s a good investment supported by hard work."
  • RTC’s perspective:
    • Not everyone grows up learning OTF; filter relationships to preserve your most valuable resources (time, energy, emotion).

Actionable Guidance and Guardrails

  • Learn blockchain forensics:
    • Roman emphasized: Numbers don’t lie; reading on-chain flows is essential to detect extraction, routing to casinos, or self-serving behavior.
  • Observe more, speak less:
    • "Two ears, two eyes, one mouth" — listen and observe before acting; avoid social engineering.
  • Loyalty as first principle:
    • Stand by your people, even if you disagree at times; unity over division.
    • Don’t chase glitter; short-term clout often carries long-term costs.
  • Risk management:
    • Understand low-liquidity weekend dynamics; avoid being liquidated on engineered moves.
    • Hedge and rotate prudently (metals to risk-on eventually), but accept uncertainty on timelines.
  • Social fabric:
    • Reject divisive narratives by race, religion, origin; evaluate individuals on behavior, not group labels.
    • Practice radical acceptance (recognize manipulation) and resist becoming a sponge for low-frequency messaging.

Community Self-Definition: Beyond Crypto

  • The crypto angle is one part of a larger spiritual and ethical struggle.
  • Legacy over noise: Create open communication spaces; teach next generations love and discernment.
  • Winners vs losers:
    • Winners learn from misfortunes and use them to fuel growth.
    • Losers fixate on setbacks and repel themselves from healthy circles.

Closing Notes

  • Humor and levity threaded through intense topics: island survival jokes (geese), encryption skepticism, book concept "You Can’t Smoke Weed and Be Successful" as a marketing gag, and the running joke about Web’s old bet regarding BTC $100k.
  • The space ended with a musical performance of "Sweet Dreams" (Eurythmics) as an uplifting close, reiterating resilience: "Hold your head up, moving on."

Key Takeaways

  • Markets: Expect engineered volatility on low-volume weekends; be cautious with leverage.
  • Community: OTF—keep your circle tight; loyalty compounds long-term outcomes.
  • Scams: Be wary of influencer Telegrams; conflicts of interest are common.
  • Macro: Distinguish routine FUD from structural fear; metals strength may reflect genuine risk; rotations take time.
  • Life: Learn early, learn cheaply (small losses reveal character), observe more than you speak, and prioritize self-worth and boundaries.
  • Ethics: Resist division; love thy neighbor; build legacy through action and teaching.